Big Hatt’s 2009 NFL Draft do’s and do not do’s!

All right fellas (and grandma), we’re getting close. The draft is 24 hours away. I’ve been waiting for this since, well, last year’s draft I suppose. That’s the one benefit of being ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN you’re going to be terrible: high draft picks!

I forced myself to watch a lot of college football last year to in order to familiarize myself with all the top prospects. Obviously I’m no Mel Kiper, but I have seen most of the best guys play at least once. People say this is a weak draft class. I wholeheartedly disagree. I think the middle of the first round is chock full of future pro-bowlers. In fact, I think picks 10-20 are likely to yield a better return than picks 1-10. One of the many reasons its imperative that we trade down. Another is that there is a lot of talent in the second round, and we should do our damnedest to acquire at least one pick there.

OK, enough foreplay. Let’s get to it. Ladies and germs, I give you, Big Hatt’s 2009 draft do’s and do not do’s. Enjoy.

Do’s:

USC inside linebacker Rey Maualuga- I believe I’ve been quite clear about my love for Maualuga. He’s by far my favorite player in this year’s draft. I watched as many USC games as I could just to watch him play, and I was impressed every time. The guy plays with a reckless abandon that can’t be coached. Come to think of it, the way he plays reminds me a lot of Troy Polamalu. We need a guy like that. His low wonderlic score is troubling, but if we’re going to play a 3-4 we don’t need Maualuga to call the plays. The other inside linebacker can do that, leaving Rey free to instill some much needed attitude into our defense.

Ole Miss left tackle Michael Oher- In my humble opinion, Oher is the best offensive lineman in the draft. 3 months ago he was projected as the first offensive tackle off the board, but has since been passed by Baylor’s Jason Smith and Virginia’s Eugene Monroe. I have no idea why. The fact that Oher can now be had 5-10 picks later means he’s the best value pick if we’re looking to upgrade at left tackle and move Branden Albert to the right side. Additionally, Oher scored very high on the wonderlic. Since intelligence and offensive line are the only two items on Katz’s draft checklist, Oher would be a dream come true for him.

Floride State defensive end/linebacker Everette Brown- Brown is the best pass rusher in this draft class. Even more impressive than is 13.5 sacks last year was his 21.5 tackles for loss. Basically, Brown was making a big play twice a game. We could use some of that. Furthermore, he can likely be had in the middle of the first round. That’s a great value.

Missouri wide receiver Jeremy Maclin- Call me a homer if you will, but I think Maclin is going to be a star. I watched him for 2 years, and the kid is straight-up electric. He’s a danger to score every time he touches the ball. Boom Boom dropped a Ted Ginn comparison on me yesterday, but trust me, Maclin is no Ginn. He will be a great receiver. And, Ginn reference aside, he will also be a great kick returner, something we currently lack. Maclin would inject life into our special teams that we haven’t had since Dante Hall (or Eddie Drummond). What’s more important than that, by far, is that we traded Tony G and Cassel needs another receiving threat. Maclin could be that guy.

Cal center Alex Mack- People say you shouldn’t pick a center in the first round, but I think thats hogwash. The end of the first round is the perfect time to grab an elite center. And make no mistake, Mack is elite. I watched him straight-up handle USC DT Fili Moala, who is projected to be a first-day draft pick. If we take Mack, our center position is set for the next 10 years. With more and more teams switching to the 3-4, we’ll need a big, strong center to handle the elite nose tackles. Center is about to become a position of increased importance in the NFL. I’d like to see the Chiefs be ahead of the curve on figuring something like that out for once.

Oregon center/guard Max Unger- If we can’t get Mack, Unger would be a nice consolation prize. He’s not quite as good, but can likely be had in the second round. If we acquire an early second rounder, Unger would be a great way to use it. He can play center or guard, and would excel in a zone blocking scheme, which we’ll be using if we stick to a spread-like offense.

Virginia outside linebacker Clint Sintim- Sintim is the best pass rusher available in the second round. While he didn’t have the outlandish tackles for loss totals of Everette Brown, he did average a sack per game his senior year. Also, he played linebacker in a 3-4 system in college, so he won’t have to learn a new position like Brown or Brian Orakpo. This could make for an easier transition to the NFL. I doubt Brown or Orakpo were ever asked to drop back into pass coverage in college, which is something a 3-4 outside linebacker will occasionally be asked to do.

Utah defensive end Paul Kruger- I know mormons are creepy, but Kruger reminds me of Jared Allen. Furthermore, he’s perfectly suited to play end in a 3-4. Given that Tamba Hali is going to be used exclusively as a pass-rusher and Glenn Dorsey may be traded (please god), we’ve obviously got a hole at defensive end. I’d rather see us take Kruger than use our first rounder on an end who might not be any better (like LSU’s Tyson Jackson).

Missouri tight end Chase Coffman- I know, another Missouri player. But does anyone doubt Coffman is going to be a stud? If you do, you shouldn’t. Coffman has the best hands I’ve ever seen and he’s a hard worker. He might not be the best blocker, but I honestly don’t care. We’re going to be passing much more than running this year. Cassel needs weapons, and Coffman is going to be a good one. I see him as the next Dallas Clark, only with a potentially higher ceiling. If Coffman is available with our third round pick, we’d be fools not to take him. I think he’d even make a great second round pick.

Stillman nose tackle Sammie Lee Hill- Hill is an interesting sleeper prospect. Obviously Stillman is no football powerhouse, but we shouldn’t let that scare us off. Tank Tyler is likely to fail as our NT. Given the importance of that position, we should have an insurance policy. Hill may have played against inferior competition, but his stats improved every year and by the time he was a senior he was a dominant force. He may wilt against top competition, or he may be a diamond in the rough waiting for a team ballsy enough to take a chance. Granted this would be somewhat of a project pick, but I’d be pretty excited if we drafted Hill. He’d be an intriguing player to watch.

Do not do’s:

Alabama left tackle Andre Smith- This right here is a sure-fire bust. I wouldn’t touch him with a 3rd round pick. Smith had a chance to be a top 5 pick and he just straight-up blew it. To say he has character issues would be the understatement of the century. The guy showed up to the combine fatter than shit, admitted he wasn’t working out, and put up terrible numbers. Then, as if that wasn’t enough, he disappeared without completing the process. Just walked out. What a moron. The icing on the retard cake is that he had a chance to redeem himself at the Alabama pro day and he blew that too. I will be havin’ a laugh at whoever picks Smith, no matter where they pick him.

Wake Forest linebacker Aaron Curry- Curry could be a great player, and I’m not a believer in the theory that linebackers shouldn’t be drafted top 5. I think Curry will probably make some team (Cleveland) very happy. I do have concerns about him playing in an inferior football conference and essentially being a combine guy, but even those issues aren’t why I have him listed in the “do not do’s”. No, the reason I don’t want him is simple: Herm said we should take him. If that idiot likes Curry, then I don’t like him.  Thas it and thas all. And even though Herm does work for ESPN, it made my blood boil to hear him commenting on what the Chiefs should do. You’re done Herm, stay the fuck away from my team. As for Curry, he’s just collateral damage.

Virginia left tackle Eugene Monroe- If Monroe were available at pick 15, I’d say go for it. But #3 seems like a bit of a reach. I don’t see Monroe being any better than Branden Albert. And I definitely don’t see him being as good as Michael Oher. Monroe will be solid, but there are better options that we could pick later. Not a good value.

Boston College defensive tackle B.J. Raji- For obvious reasons, I don’t want to see us use another top pick on a defensive tackle. It might be irrational, but I guess I’m just gun-shy on that. Plus Raji has some character issues and essentially skyrocketed up draft boards based on an awesome senior bowl performance. I like the senior bowl, but any meteoric rise a month or two before the draft makes me nervous. After all, that is exactly what happened with Ryan Sims.

Texas defensive end/linebacker Brian Orakpo- People I trust have warned me against Orakpo, and I’ve got my own concerns as well. For one thing, huge triceps and great combine numbers do not a pro bowler make. Just ask Vernon Gholston about that. Orakpo reminds me a lot of Gholston actually. I think he’s going to have similar problems making the switch from defensive end to outside linebacker. Everette Brown is the superior player and can be had 5-10 picks later. Let some other team whiff on Orakpo, I think he’s a bust in the making.

K-State quarterback Josh Freeman- I’ve seen Freeman play many times, and I’ve never been impressed. He should’ve stayed in college. It might be moot to include him on this list because the Chiefs aren’t going to draft him, but I’m basically positive he’s going to be a bust of epic proportions. Quarterbacks like that (underclassmen, wink) never succeed in the NFL. Freeman is no exception.

Oklahoma State tight end Brandon Pettigrew- The fact that Pettigrew is ranked above Chase Coffman is a joke.  Pettigrew ain’t shit.  Actually, he is shit.  Specifically, a piece of shit.  Pettigrew is the next Vernon “Click-Clack” Davis.  Not that it matters, I seriously doubt we’re ever going to see Scott Pioli use a first round pick on a tight end.

Boston College nose tackle Ron Brace- Yes, defensive tackle is a position of need for us. And no, I still don’t want us taking Brace. For one thing, his youtube highlights are pathetic. And as many of you know, my number 1 draft rule is to stay away from the guys who played next to studs. They almost always end up being a mirage, as the Chiefs have proven many times before. Brace played next to B.J. Raji. In other words, no thank you please.

USC linebacker Clay Matthews- USC has 3 linebackers projected to be first day picks. You know at least 1 of them was just riding the others’ coattails. I’m betting that’s Clay Matthews. I watched a bunch of USC games and didn’t even realize Matthews was an NFL prospect. Brian Cushing and Maualuga, however, definitely stood out. Matthews will likely fall to the second round, and even then I don’t think it would be worth the price.

Missouri safety William Moore- I included Moore on this list to prove I’m not a total homer.  I love my Tigers, but I just don’t think Willy Mo is the real deal.  He has serious coverage issues.  I watched him get picked apart by Todd Reesing in the border war game at Arrowhead (dude, me and the Antlers kicked like 10 Jayhawks’ asses after that game).  The last thing we need is another safety who gives up the deep ball.  That’s one position we’ve got covered.

OK, there it is.  10 “do’s” and 10 “do not do’s”.  There are a few guys we may end up drafting that I’m on the fence about.  Scott Pioli apparently loves LSU defensive end Tyson Jackson.  If I had to make a prediction I’d say we’ll probably draft him.  Oddly enough, I didn’t watch any LSU games last year.  This is probably due, on some level, to disgust at the school for producing Glenngarry Glen Dorsey.  Anyway, Jackson isn’t a big-play guy and would probably be a reach at #3.  But if we trade down?  I don’t know, we do need a defensive end.  Like I said, I’m on the fence.

Another guy I’m not sure about is Michael Crabtree.  He seems like a pretty good candidate to be the next loudmouth, flamboyant receiver.  That’s not something I particularly want, especially since part of me thinks receivers are trying way too hard to play that role these days.  Like its expected of them or something.  I don’t see Pioli wanting a guy like that, but Todd Haley could make a push for his new Larry Fitzgerald.  And Crabtree definitely has crazy talent.  I guess I’d rather us pick someone else, but I could get behind Crabtree pretty easily if we did pick him.

Conclusion: What it comes down to is that we need to get an offensive lineman, a pass-catcher, and someone for the front 7 in the first 3 rounds.  Obviously, thats going to require a trade back to pick up an extra pick.  I honestly think Pioli is going to make that happen.  My ideal draft would see us land Rey Maualuga with our first pick, Alex Mack with our second, and Chase Coffman with our third.  Thats pretty ambitious, but a man can dream, can’t he?  For 3 years every dream I’ve had has turned into a nightmare, so it’d be nice for at least some of this one to come true.  Regardless, I can’t wait.  This is like Christmas Eve, baby.  Tomorrow we unwrap some presents.

Come on by the chat if you get a chance.  I’ll be posting comments throughout and will hopefully do a new post after round 2 comes to a close.

27 Comments

  1. “Since intelligence and offensive line are the only two items on Katz’s draft checklist”

    you know how when you’re reading along and you see your name it’s really hard not to skip ahead? well, i didn’t notice the katz name till even after i’d read it. the result was there was a moment, a split-second where i found myself agreeing with someone named “katz” more than i’ve ever agreed with anyone before. i now know exactly how Narcissus felt in that moment when he fell in love with his reflection. when i realized what’d just happened it was like a scene from Vertigo: i felt like Jimmy Stewart splayed out above a black & white swirling spiral.

    i also loved the way the post just sort of left off at the end: “Boston College nose tackle Ron Brace-” my guess this is either being fixed as i type or will soon enough, but i had a laugh over the idea of chat getting so worked up, putting so much into the post that he just collapsed upon the keyboard, like that scene is Shine, if anyone ever saw it.

    terrific post.
    i must say, the prospect of having that pick so early and then just watching for soooo long afterwards – oh yeah, we gotsta be trading down and into that 2nd!

  2. With the inevitable lust for Sanchez growing as draft time nears, and the alleged canniness of Pioli in accumulating picks and not being forced into picks by his position in the draft, a trade down seems inevitable.

  3. Apparently we offered Detroit our first and 4th rounders for their other first (#20) and second. They said no. Seems to me they should’ve jumped at the chance to get a top left tackle to protect Stafford, but this is the Lions we’re talking about. Hopefully we can get something done with someone else.

    The fact that we were willing to trade back to #20 indicates there isn’t any top player that we’re in love with. In other words, maybe (hopefully) all those Tyson Jackson rumors were just rumors after all.

  4. excellent post, bighatt. This is going to be a great day.

  5. Great post hatt. I will disagree with you about pettigrew, but we need not waste our time on him. We need to get the skins and donkeys in a bidding war four our third overall and a second rounder. then take Oher with the 12th or 13th. Thats boombooms wants for the first round.

  6. I just put on the Chiefs jacket and went to the corner store to pick up some beer. It’s 80 degrees outside. It’s gonna be that kind of day.

  7. We could have gotten Jackson in the middle of the round…he’s not the next Richard Seymour. We’d better have another pick today.

  8. So much for Pioli being a tradin genuis. He still gets props for stealing Cassell from the Patriots for a number 2, but as of now, the Chiefs are a worse team today than they were yesterday.

    I wonder why there are not more teams that trade established players for draft picks. The pick trader gets a sure thing, and gives up an unknown.

  9. Good point by Grodin. There had to be some trade down move that could have preserved a good shot at Jackson.

    Also, look at the load that the Browns just got for their number 5 pick from the Jets. Presumably, the Chiefs could have got that for their numbe 3. So far, disappointing day and not much more likely to happen, but I guess we keep in mind Cassell and the linebacker that came with him.

  10. My only hope is that Pioli and Dimitrioff made a gentlemen’s agreement when we shipped off TG. They are somewhat boys I believe. Of course, it wouldn’t make much sense that they wouldn’t have made that move earlier this week.

  11. the dos and do not dos will be interesting to peak back at.

    did you have Tyson Jackson as a DND earlier today? i could be wrong about this accusation.

    speaking of….caught his press conference and he sounds kinda eh, dumb. the perfect couple said they didn’t have any offers either way but they were trying to deal that pick. scott also acted like they were definitely (probably not) not done with the day and to not go anywhere.

    we should get adam p over here.

  12. Nothing ever changes…Donkeys get a running back.

  13. Tyson Jackson was never a do not do. However, i am not excited about this pick. You gotta think we could’ve traded with the jets. Cleveland put a clown suit on us.

    I think Jackson will be solid, but he was a serious reach at 3.

    Adam P would’ve been great over here during the Herm era.

  14. That Oakland pick was hilarious by the way. Al Davis is really out of touch. I love it.

    Way to burn a first rounder on a running back Denver. I gotta say, at least our division rivals are drafting worse than us.

  15. On an otherwise disappointing day, you also need to give props to the Chiefs for signing Cassell to a long term deal. It was pricey for a guy with his meager background, but it would have been a disaster to not get him signed. He would have collected $14-15 Million this year and, if he had a good year, he could have walked or maybe got the high priced franchise tag on him again (if that is possible).

  16. Enjoy Philly Jeremy. I think this means I’m defnitely making the tirp up there in September for Chiefs-Iggles…

    Hatt-what are you thoughts about coming down to Baltimore for opening day…chiefs-ravens? I’ve had preliminary talks with Dominic about that game and the redskins game in mid octoboer. Let’s get this done.

  17. Grodin, I am interested. The megabus goes to DC, so we could make this happen.

    Some puzzling picks by the AFC West thus far. Ours might’ve been the best, as sad as that is. Maualuga and Oher still available. Get us that Atlanta pick. Please god.

  18. Alex mack off the board. I’m really impressed with Cleveland’s performance thus far.

  19. it sure does seem unlikely that we will trade Dorsey for a first and fifth. thats what DP is reporting anyway. boy that would be sweet. i just can’t imagine that happening tho.

    the browns have 10 picks now

  20. KC- Tyson Jackson was a reach

    Oakland- Heyward Bey is an embarrassing bust

    Denver- Knowshon Moreno might be good, but running back in the first round? Really? Outdated drafting methods.

    San Diego- Larry English is a serious reach.

    Denver- Robert Ayers is another reach.

    Bad picks all around pretty much. Jackson and Moreno will probably be solid players, but the others were straight-up head scratchers.

  21. Oher off the board. An absolute steal for Baltimore at 23.

    The moment of truth with this Atlanta pick. Oh god….

  22. Atlanta wanted a DT all right, but apparently they’d rather take Peria Jerry at #24 than trade that pick for Dorsey. Very telling about what the league really thinks of Beast Nation’s boy.

  23. Atlanta 24 is an example of how trades in theory would work. If Atltanta thought Dorsey or any other available veteran DT with a team was better than Peria Jerry, logically it would make a trade. In this case, it seems like Atlanta thought Jerry is better than Dorsey (or better than Dorsey for the money it would have to pay Dorsey), but why aren’t those type of trades made all the time? For any first round pick (or later pick), shouldn’t the picking team look around the league to see what veterans are available who play that position before it pulls the trigger on the pick?

  24. thats a good point KCO. when i saw who they picked it was pretty apparent why they didn’t trade w/ the chiefies.

    looks like the cassel deal was falso.

    the patriots have 4 (four) picks in the second round and four (fore!) in the third. say what. lets get two of those please (at least). too bad we just can’t make a cash offer. 13 picks overall now. they always seem to be head of the class.

  25. It probably is unfair to criticize Pioli for not using the number 3 to get multiple picks or players, although why he could not cut a deal with the Jets is a head scratcher and he was built up as such a savvy dealer in draft picks. Oh well, maybe Jackson will be a star. My LSU buddy says he will be great.

  26. This is not a great day. That statement just came from a guy who played a round of golf on a 75 degree sunny day and has been drinking ice cold beer.

  27. Bye Bye Rey Rey


Comments RSS TrackBack Identifier URI

Leave a comment